GeoOdds

Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd Place Odds

$124K total volume$29K 24hResolves by August 23, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh
97%implied chance
+20.3pp24h

Auyl

last 24h

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    Auyl97%
  2. 2
    Party A50%
  3. 3
    Party B50%
  4. 4
    Party C50%
  5. 5
    Party D50%
  6. 6
    Party E50%
  7. ·
    Others (28 outcomes)>99%
Implied
97.1%
American
-3348
Decimal
1.03
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd Place?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 97% — roughly -3348 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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