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Nigerian Presidential Election Winner Odds

$115K total volume$108 24hResolves by January 16, 2027Polymarket, 10-min refresh
72%implied chance
+0.5pp24h

Bola Tinubu

last 24h

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    Bola Tinubu72%
  2. 2
    Candidate K50%
  3. 3
    Candidate L50%
  4. 4
    Candidate M50%
  5. 5
    Candidate N50%
  6. 6
    Candidate P50%
  7. ·
    Others (16 outcomes)>99%
Implied
71.5%
American
-251
Decimal
1.40
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Nigerian Presidential Election Winner?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 72% — roughly -251 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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