GeoOdds

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Odds

$23.5M total volume$254K 24hResolves by July 1, 2027Polymarket, 10-min refresh
7%implied chance
-1.0pp24h

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

last 24h

Probability over time

Odds by deadline

OutcomeResolves byProbabilityAmerican
September 30, 2026October 1, 2026<1%+10426
December 31, 2026January 1, 20277%+1438
June 30, 2027July 1, 202714%+641
Implied
6.5%
American
+1438
Decimal
15.38
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 7% — roughly +1438 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

Related markets

New to prediction markets?

New traders get a $20 bonus

Deposit $10 on Polymarket and get a $20 trading bonus to put behind your first call.

Trade this on Polymarket →

New Polymarket users only. Bonus is trading credit, expires 30 days after it lands, and terms are set by Polymarket — check the current offer at signup. 18+. Fee-free markets. GeoOdds earns a commission on signups through this link.