GeoOdds

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Odds

$18.8M total volume$57K 24hResolves by June 30, 2027Polymarket, 10-min refresh
9%implied chance
0.0pp24h

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

last 24h

Probability over time

Odds by deadline

OutcomeResolves byProbabilityAmerican
July 31, 2026July 31, 2026<1%+66567
August 31, 2026August 31, 20262%+5782
September 30, 2026September 30, 20264%+2199
December 31, 2026December 31, 20269%+1076
June 30, 2027December 31, 202616%+545
Implied
8.5%
American
+1076
Decimal
11.76
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 9% — roughly +1076 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

Related markets

Trade this on Polymarket →

Fee-free geopolitics markets. 18+.