Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place Odds
Sweden Democrats (SD)
last 24h
Probability over time
Current standings
- 1Sweden Democrats (SD)81%
- 2Moderate Party (M)18%
- 3Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)<1%
- 4Centre Party (C)<1%
- 5Green Party (MP)<1%
- 6Liberals (L)<1%
- ·Others (30 outcomes)<1%
- Implied
- 81%
- American
- -426
- Decimal
- 1.23
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place?
Polymarket traders currently price this at 81% — roughly -426 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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