Taipei Mayor Election Winner Odds
Chiang Wan-an
last 24h
Probability over time
Current standings
- 1Chiang Wan-an80%
- 2Candidate A50%
- 3Candidate B50%
- 4Candidate C50%
- 5Candidate D50%
- 6Candidate E50%
- ·Others (24 outcomes)>99%
- Implied
- 80%
- American
- -400
- Decimal
- 1.25
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of Taipei Mayor Election Winner?
Polymarket traders currently price this at 80% — roughly -400 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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