Israeli parliament dissolved by...? Odds
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
last 24h
Probability over time
Odds by deadline
| Outcome | Resolves by | Probability | American |
|---|---|---|---|
| February 28 | February 28, 2026 | — | — |
| June 15 | June 15, 2026 | 2% | +6150 |
| June 30 | June 30, 2026 | 20% | +413 |
| July 31 | July 31, 2026 | 68% | -213 |
- Implied
- 19.5%
- American
- +413
- Decimal
- 5.13
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 3 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of Israeli parliament dissolved by...?
Polymarket traders currently price this at 20% — roughly +413 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 3 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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